Markets
The tyranny of the quarter
Ninety days is an accounting period. Nothing in a real business runs on it.
The quarter is an accident of convention that has come to govern behaviour it was never meant to touch. Nothing that matters in a real business happens on a ninety-day cycle. Factories are not built in ninety days. Brands are not earned in ninety days. Trust is not won in ninety days.
Yet quarterly reporting bends decisions anyway. Managers defer the maintenance, pull the sale forward, trim the research, all to make the number. The market rewards them for it, then punishes them later for the consequences it encouraged.
We try to read a business on its own clock instead. A weak quarter caused by spending we admire is good news in bad clothing. A strong quarter borrowed from next year is the reverse. The skill is telling them apart, and refusing to let the calendar do your thinking.
The views above are the firm's own and are provided for information only. They are not investment advice, nor an offer or solicitation to invest. Capital at risk; the value of investments can go down as well as up, and past performance is not a guide to future results.
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